In the next five to six years, according to Elon Musk, “digital superintelligence” will be a reality.
“I would be surprised if there is not digital superintelligence in roughly the five- or six-year timeframe,” the billionaire said in a conversation on Twitter Spaces with Reps. Mike Gallagher, R-Wis., and Ro Khanna, D-Calif.
“If this was a Netflix series or something, I’d say that the season finale would be a showdown between the West and China and that the series finale will be AGI,” Musk continued.
Khanna commented on how swiftly that timetable had gone, stating he had not anticipated it happening that quickly.
Later in the conversation, Musk elaborated, saying that the idea of digital superintelligence is “that it’s smarter than any human, at anything.”
He said that he finds the prospect of an AI-driven future to be stressful, but added, “That’s not necessarily smarter than the sum of all humans – that’s a higher bar, to be smarter than the sum of all humans.”
The head of SpaceX reiterated his support for governmental regulation of cutting-edge technology.
“You can’t just launch a nuclear barrage and everyone will find it amusing; in fact, we don’t find it amusing. Therefore, there is a lot of regulation surrounding things that we deem to be risky, he informed the bipartisan lawmakers.
Earlier this year, Musk and other signatories to the open letter demanded an embargo on the creation of any AI systems more powerful than OpenAI’s GPT-4.
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